Democrats are beginning to really worry about the 2022 elections. And they should.
President Joe Biden’s approval rating is collapsing. Vice President Kamala Harris’ ratings are even worse. The top three Democrat House leaders are so old their collective age would reach back to 1777 (before the U.S. Constitution was written). Senate Democratic leadership has almost nothing to show for its efforts. So, November is starting to look like a disaster for the Democrats.
Hillary Clinton has argued that it is all a messaging problem. Of course, her husband lost 53 seats and control of the House to Republicans for the first time in 40 years in his first off-year election.
Barack Obama chimed in that it just required Democrats telling their story. Of course, he lost 64 seats to the Republicans in his first off-year election.
If (when) Biden loses just five seats (less than 10% of the losses in 1994 and 2010), he faces Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., and an ardent Republican House. The odds are that the House Republicans will gain 25 to 70 seats as the voter tsunami builds in response to the economic, cultural and practical pain created by the Democrats’ policies.